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$ man polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage

/polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage

agentutility / edge-finance / polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage
PRICE / CALL
$0.02
USDC · base mainnet · scheme: exact
METHOD
POST
CATEGORY
uncategorized
STATUS
live
NAME
polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage scans for arbitrage between polymarket and kalshi prediction markets
SYNOPSIS
POST https://x402.agentutility.ai/polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage
     Content-Type: application/json
     X-PAYMENT:    <signed-transferWithAuthorization>

     { ... }
↳ first call → 402 Payment Required. Sign USDCtransferWithAuthorization, retry with theX-PAYMENT header.
DESCRIPTION

Scans for arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets. Pulls active markets from both venues, fuzzy-matches by title (Jaccard token overlap), and reports pairs whose implied YES probabilities diverge beyond a configurable threshold. Output is data-only: spread metrics, no trade execution. Useful for cross-market sentiment timing and signal triangulation. Use it as a cross-venue spread scanner, event price arbitrage detector, or Polymarket vs Kalshi comparison.

INPUTrequest schema
propertytypedescriptionreq?
min_spreadnumberMinimum |p_poly - p_kalshi| spread to report. 0-1. Default 0.05.optional
min_match_scorenumberMinimum Jaccard token overlap to treat two titles as the same event. 0-1. Default 0.4.optional
scan_limitnumberMax markets to pull from each venue. 10-500. Default 100.optional
categorystringOptional Polymarket category filter (substring).optional
OUTPUTresponse shape
fieldtypedescription
pairsstringArray of matched Polymarket/Kalshi market pairs with titles, YES probabilities, spread, and venue links.
pair_countstringNumber of cross-venue market pairs whose implied YES probability spread exceeded the threshold.
attributionstringSource credit string naming Polymarket and Kalshi as the upstream prediction market data providers.
EXAMPLEStwo ways to call
EXAMPLE 1 · curl
curl -X POST https://x402.agentutility.ai/polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage \
  -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
  -d '{ }'
first response = 402 Payment Required with payment requirements; sign + retry with X-PAYMENT.
EXAMPLE 2 · mcp
# Install the MCP package for this endpoint's cluster
npx -y @agentutility/mcp-<cluster>

# Required: EVM private key with USDC on Base
export X402_PRIVATE_KEY=0x...

# Then call the polymarket-kalshi-arbitrage tool from your MCP-aware agent.
MCP server handles payment automatically — your coding agent just calls the tool by name.
METADATA
tags
edge-financeprediction-marketsarbitragepolymarketkalshispread-scannercross-venuemarket-arbitrage
methods
POST
cluster
edgefinance
price
$0.02 USDC per call
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SEE ALSO
agentutility · edgefinance · x402 · mcp · llms.txt · registry.json · bazaar.x402.org